Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 44.555464 51.460587 58.637073 66.617222 75.208838 84.148672 94.122364
2025-04-20 35.984939 45.944678 56.869792 69.596682 83.876645 99.279190 117.025784
2025-04-27 30.469142 42.054148 55.287290 71.218344 89.596847 109.883938 133.729764
2025-05-04 25.252375 37.670571 52.422466 70.728700 92.373456 116.744712 145.872560
2025-05-11 21.002220 33.856429 49.716920 69.958554 94.422945 122.446902 156.416629
2025-05-18 18.131284 31.409136 48.362653 70.530067 97.819187 129.521392 168.387218
2025-05-25 15.324181 28.691364 46.382850 70.087253 99.798590 134.782680 178.131736
2025-06-01 13.220194 26.685235 45.117833 70.366531 102.518471 140.818217 188.707183
2025-06-08 11.029277 24.271000 43.091960 69.489159 103.662933 144.857229 196.837721
2025-06-15 9.784944 23.140665 42.709604 70.666298 107.316420 151.889973 208.515187
2025-06-22 8.725061 22.167984 42.453397 71.939026 111.042440 158.984198 220.258112
2025-06-29 7.255346 20.302988 40.763081 71.156877 112.041905 162.660142 227.826731
2025-07-06 5.687043 18.022612 38.306200 69.222598 111.496683 164.416168 233.100752
2025-07-13 5.332633 17.971017 39.228311 72.014548 117.177294 173.991382 247.995043
2025-07-20 4.794697 17.471801 39.400271 73.708299 121.383942 181.707792 260.613176
2025-07-27 3.919063 16.110396 38.094829 73.202685 122.596506 185.600357 268.489439
2025-08-03 3.123345 14.739031 36.657436 72.417501 123.368136 188.887825 275.585919
2025-08-10 2.635440 13.977339 36.176372 73.000704 125.973438 194.510001 285.590744
2025-08-17 2.082115 12.892589 35.048730 72.548753 127.111917 198.213517 293.177577
2025-08-24 1.693021 12.135507 34.434935 72.833806 129.242609 203.187870 302.358753
2025-08-31 1.250897 11.035996 33.101282 71.938253 129.675031 205.917074 308.685248
2025-09-07 1.054293 10.675908 33.118611 73.139764 133.054497 212.509346 319.920008
2025-09-14 0.889419 10.366348 33.206075 74.438659 136.568614 219.284000 331.400780